Research and Markets Ltd Reveals Latest IP TV Global Forecast

IP TV Global Forecast – 2005 to 2009: September 2005 incorporates the most recent information on IP TV deployments including:

  • The current status of plans by SBC and BellSouth to deploy large IP TV networks in the U.S.
  • The rollout of Verizon’s video offering that will use IP TV technology for Video On Demand (VOD) services to supplement its RF based broadband video service over its Fiber to the Premise (FTTP) access network
  • The introduction of VOD IP TV services by China Telecom
  • The introduction of VOD services by Atlas Interactive in India
  • The broad deployment of IP TV services in many countries in Europe
  • The continued growth of subscribers by the major established IP TV service providers, such as, Free in France, PCCW in Hong Kong, and Fastweb in Italy
  • A number of new deployments including Belgacom, Softbank BB, KPN, and Telekom Austria are reflected in the forecast

Research and Markets Ltd are forecasting that the number of DSL subscribers will grow from 97 million on 2005 to 221 million in 2009, a compound annual growth rate of 22 percent.

The number of global IP TV subscribers will grow from 3.7 million in 2005 to 36.9 million in 2009, a compound annual growth rate of 78 percent.

Europe is leading the market. The forecast for North America has decreased due to schedule slips and is now behind Asia. Schedules for SBC and BellSouth have slipped because they are waiting for MPEG-4 set-top boxes and Microsoft’s middleware as well the difficulty of integrating IP TV with back office systems.

The global IP TV service revenue forecast is $880 million in 2005 growing to $9.9 billion in 2009, a compound annual growth rate of 83 percent. Of the four regions, Europe and North America are generating a significant amount of this revenue. Asia is generating a lower amount of revenue due to lower average prices.

The forecast for global IP TV system revenue will grow from $774 million in 2005 too $3.3 billion in 2009, a compound annual growth rate of 44 percent. The set-top boxes and the access systems together account for 68 percent of the total in 2009. The other five product categories account for 32 percent of the total in the same year.

The market for IP TV services and equipment will be a strong one with strong opportunities in Europe, Asia, and North America. We expect growth to continue. In addition, the opportunity in the Rest of the World is increasing.

Report Index:

1 Executive Summary

2 Global Outlook for IP TV
2.1 Europe Continuing to Move Forward
2.1.1 Competition Is Hot in France
2.1.2 FastWeb Continues to Lead in Italy
2.1.3 Benelux Countries
2.1.4 IP TV Starting in the UK
2.1.5 Other Western European Countries
2.1.6 IP TV Progressing in Eastern Europe
2.2 The Major U.S. Incumbents Pushing IP TV
2.2.1 Large U.S. Incumbents are Starting IP TV Activities
2.2.2 Canadian Telcos Adopting IP TV
2.2.3 Small U.S. Independent Telcos Continuing their Advance
2.3 Asia Is Picking Up
2.3.1 Moving Forward in Hong Kong
2.3.2 Taiwan Getting Back Up To Speed
2.3.3 Japan Having a Slow Start
2.3.4 Korea Will Focus on Video On Demand
2.3.5 China Has Big Plans 2.3.6 IP TV Starting in India
2.3.7 Activities in Other Asian Countries
2.4 IP TV Emerging in the Rest of the World

3 Global IP TV Market Forecast
3.1 Methodology
3.1.1 DSL Forecast
3.1.2 IP TV Subscribers and Revenue
3.1.3 Access System Revenue
3.1.4 Video Headend System Revenue
3.1.5 Video On Demand Server Revenue
3.1.6 Set-top Box Revenue
3.1.7 Middleware Software Revenue
3.1.8 Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue
3.1.9 System Integration and Professional Services Revenue Forecast
3.2 Global Forecast Shows Strong Growth
3.2.1 Global DSL Forecast Increasing
3.2.2 IP TV Subscriber Forecast Remains Firm
3.2.3 Global System Revenue Forecast
3.2.4 Global Access System Revenue Forecast
3.2.5 Global Set-top Box Revenue Forecast
3.2.6 Global IP TV Headend Revenue Forecast
3.2.7 Global IP Video On Demand Revenue Forecast
3.2.8 Global IP TV Middleware Revenue Forecast
3.2.9 Global IP TV Content Protection Revenue World
3.2.10 Global IP TV System Integration Revenue Forecast
3.3 IP TV Market Forecast for Europe
3.3.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe
3.3.2 IP TV Subscriber Forecast for Europe
3.3.3 IP TV System Revenue for Europe
3.4 IP TV Market Forecast for Asia
3.4.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for Asia
3.4.2 IP TV Subscriber Forecast for Asia
3.4.3 IP TV System Revenue For Asia
3.5 IP TV Market Forecast for North America
3.5.1 DSL Subscribers for North America
3.5.2 IP TV Subscriber Forecast for North America
3.5.3 IP TV System Revenue for North America
3.6 IP TV Market Forecast for the Rest of the World
3.6.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
3.6.2 IP TV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
3.6.3 IP TV System Revenue for the Rest of the World

4 Opportunities, Risks, and Recommendations
4.1 Opportunities
4.2 Risks
4.3 Recommendations

Table of Figures
F 1-1: Global IP TV Subscriber Forecast
F 1-2: Global IP TV Service Revenue Forecast
F 1-3: Global IP TV System Revenue Forecast
F 3-1 Global DSL Subscriber Forecast
F 3-2: Global IP TV Subscriber Forecast
F 3-3: Global IP TV Service Revenue Forecast
F 3-4: Global IP TV System Revenue Forecast
F 3-5: Global IP TV System Revenue Forecast
F 3-6: Global Forecast for IP TV Set-top Boxes
F 3-7: Global Forecast for IP TV Set-top Boxes by Technology
F 3-8: Global IP TV Video Headend Revenue
F 3-9: Global IP TV Video Headend Revenue by Technology
F 3-10: Global IP TV Video On Demand Server Revenue
F 3-11: Global IP TV Middleware Revenue Forecast
F 3-12: Global IP TV Content Protection Forecast
F 3-13: Global System Integration and Professional Services Revenue
F 3-14: DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe
F 3-15: IP TV Subscriber Forecast for Europe
F 3-16: IP TV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for Europe
F 3-17: IP TV System Revenue Forecast for Europe
F 3-18: Asian DSL Subscriber Market
F 3-19: Asian IP TV Subscriber Forecast
F 3-20: Asian IP TV Subscriber Revenue
F 3-21: IP TV System Revenue for Asia
F 3-22: DSL Subscribers Forecast for North America
F 3-23: IP TV Subscriber Forecast for North America
F 3-24: IP TV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for North America
F 3-25: IP TV System Revenue for North America
F 3-26: DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
F 3-27: IP TV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
F 3-28: IP TV System Revenue for the Rest of the World

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